Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.428071 0.487320 0.550552 0.622918 0.703299 0.789701 0.889449
2025-11-09 0.329685 0.410163 0.502530 0.615793 0.750303 0.904282 1.093184
2025-11-16 0.261259 0.353436 0.466645 0.614475 0.800823 1.026209 1.317510
2025-11-23 0.207264 0.303921 0.430518 0.605798 0.839104 1.135549 1.536716
2025-11-30 0.172835 0.273158 0.412553 0.616015 0.900207 1.277166 1.807843
2025-12-07 0.140961 0.239831 0.385333 0.608697 0.935152 1.385760 2.043467
2025-12-14 0.118967 0.216912 0.368943 0.613325 0.985347 1.517310 2.318763
2025-12-21 0.098248 0.191998 0.345408 0.603332 1.011655 1.615451 2.552645
2025-12-28 0.087486 0.181709 0.343136 0.625188 1.086757 1.788725 2.905557
2026-01-04 0.078194 0.172239 0.340580 0.645577 1.160352 1.963789 3.271304
2026-01-11 0.067882 0.158867 0.329182 0.649248 1.206354 2.098400 3.582675
2026-01-18 0.058864 0.146280 0.317249 0.650118 1.246845 2.225822 3.889124
2026-01-25 0.050865 0.134408 0.305218 0.649763 1.285710 2.354190 4.206883
2026-02-01 0.044052 0.123747 0.293981 0.649408 1.324153 2.483933 4.534162
2026-02-08 0.038536 0.114921 0.285136 0.652423 1.368483 2.625864 4.889028
2026-02-15 0.033058 0.104959 0.272366 0.645999 1.394367 2.737064 5.197751
2026-02-22 0.029718 0.099738 0.269158 0.658510 1.456661 2.915200 5.629352
2026-03-01 0.025579 0.091370 0.257510 0.651817 1.480825 3.026150 5.949518
2026-03-08 0.022715 0.085930 0.251900 0.657387 1.529358 3.183645 6.358885
2026-03-15 0.019426 0.078354 0.239871 0.647185 1.544784 3.280298 6.663639
2026-03-22 0.018106 0.076678 0.242497 0.670655 1.631411 3.515112 7.229335
2026-03-29 0.016824 0.074820 0.244371 0.692473 1.715947 3.750038 7.805283
2026-04-05 0.014984 0.070536 0.239070 0.696476 1.762391 3.913511 8.255546